← notesDeletion-Tolerant Random Sets · deep dive: the proof of Theorem AHutchcroft, Monod, Tamuz · a law of very large numbers, built from a finitely additive walk14 slides · 7.5 min at 1× · built 2026-09-17 06:44
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1 of 14 · Q: what are we proving, and why is it hard?

Theorem A wants a random set that barely notices a deletion, and no honest random walk provides one

a random finite set of positive integers, written in increasing order finitely supported lawtotal variation moved by deleting the first point every walk with honest i.i.d. steps lands in here (Proposition A.1)Theorem A wants this endthe route of the proofmeans: exact invarianceTheorem 2.3average over set sizeserror 2/n, then a limit pointback to finite supportGoldstine, then Mazur

Alpha i deletes the i-th smallest element of a finite set of positive integers. Theorem A asks for a finitely supported random set whose law moves by less than epsilon, in total variation, under each of the first k deletions.

The natural candidate is a walk with independent, identically distributed steps. It fails. For any honest, countably additive step law, deleting the first point moves the law by more than one quarter. That proof comes later.

So the proof detours through finitely additive step laws, called means, where the invariance is exact. An average over set sizes, and two tools from functional analysis, then return a finitely supported law.

2 of 14 · Q: what is a mean?

A mean is a finitely additive probability, and it can put all of its mass at infinity

1481632a mean on N a finitely additive probabilitysmallest example uniform on {1,...,n} = the Cesàro average a finite window Emass inside: 1, 1/2, 1/4, 1/8, ... accumulation point (Banach-Alaoglu) diffuse: a random very large numberStone-Čech compactification mass on the points at infinity (our remark)

A mean is a positive linear functional on bounded sequences, sending the constant one to one. On indicators it is a finitely additive probability. Probability vectors are examples.

Take the uniform law on one through n, the Cesaro average, and let n grow. The bars flatten and spread right.

A finite window holds at most its size over n, so it empties. The total stays one.

Means form a weak star compact set, so this sequence has an accumulation point, nu. It vanishes on every finite set, which the paper calls diffuse: a random very large number. A short argument, ours, puts its mass at infinity, in the Stone Check compactification on the board.

3 of 14 · Q: which property of nu does the proof use?

An invariant mean is convolution idempotent: a very large number plus a very large number is a very large number

f as shaded cells; a window, and the window shifted by onewindow 1..nwindow 2..n+1 condition (2.i), idempotence very large + very large = very large12345678 an honest distribution law of a sum of two draws smallest atom m no distribution on {1, 2, ...} is idempotent;an idempotent mean must be diffuse (stated p.5; check ours)

Average f and its shift over one through n. Only the two end terms differ, so the gap is at most two over n times the supremum norm of f. Nu is therefore shift invariant.

Condition two i evaluates f at a sum of two draws from nu. For fixed x the inner mean sees a shifted f and returns nu of f. The outer mean averages a constant. Hence nu star nu is nu.

No honest law on the positive integers does this. Two draws sum to at least twice the smallest atom, so the convolution puts nothing there. The paper states that an idempotent mean is diffuse. The same check, ours, proves it.

4 of 14 · Q: can two draws from nu be treated as an independent pair?

For means the order of integration matters, so every product has to fix an order

13579111357911 shaded: f = 1fix x, mean over y first fix y, mean over x first a product must fix an order: Arens convolution (our notation) paper: the Stone-Čech compactification of a product is much largerthan the product of the compactifications (p.4)

Let f be one when x is less than y: the region above the diagonal.

Fix x and average over y. Up any column all but finitely many cells are shaded, and a diffuse mean ignores finite sets. The iterated mean is one.

Average over x first. Along any row only finitely many cells are shaded, so the iterated mean is zero. The example is ours. The paper says only that any form of Fubini fails.

So a product of means must fix an order. The paper uses the Arens convolution, with x prime inside and x outside, and warns that the independent walk is no formal definition.

5 of 14 · Q: how is the law of k points built?

The k point law is a nested mean: last step outermost, first step innermost

freeze the last step, append it, recurseunrolled for three points outermost: last stepinnermost: first step, taken with the others frozen our computation: the first step beats the second withmean probability 1. Honest i.i.d. steps: at most 1/2. step size, log scale. schematic, our readingevery step is very large, and each dwarfs the next

Nu k plus one is defined by recursion. Freeze a last step x, and let f upper x append the point y k plus x. Apply nu k, then average over x.

Unrolled for three points, the last step is outermost and the first step innermost. That nesting is part of the definition.

The innermost mean runs with the outer variables frozen. Our computation: under nu two, the first step exceeds the second with mean probability one. Honest independent steps with one common law give at most one half.

In our reading the steps are ordered by scale: each is very large, dwarfs the next, and alone has law nu.

6 of 14 · Q: what happens when the last point is deleted?

Deleting the last point forgets the last step, and idempotence is not needed

push forward: delete first, then evaluate the same k points append, then delete: no x is left a mean of a constant is that constant.Idempotence is not used here.

A deletion acts on a mean by push forward. To test alpha j nu on f, give nu the function f composed with alpha j. Delete first, then evaluate.

Take the last point, j equal to k plus one. Inside the recursion we append the point y k plus x, and alpha deletes that same point. The tuple is unchanged, so f composed with alpha, upper x, equals f. No x is left.

The outer mean averages a constant and returns it. So deleting the last point of nu k plus one gives nu k. Only normalization was used. Idempotence has not entered yet.

7 of 14 · Q: what happens when the second to last point is deleted?

Deleting the second to last point merges two steps, and idempotence turns them back into one

expand the recursion twice one merged step a bounded function of one integer (for k = 1, g = f) the only use of idempotence

Delete point k, the second to last. Expand the recursion twice: x is the last step, x prime the step before.

Alpha k removes the point between them. That leaves y k minus one, then one point at distance x plus x prime. The expanded function is f upper x plus x prime.

The two arcs merge. Let g of z be nu k minus one applied to f upper z. For k equal to one, g is f itself.

We now have nu over x, of nu over x prime, of g at the sum. Condition two i collapses it to nu of g, which is nu k of f. Idempotence enters only here.

8 of 14 · Q: how are the earlier points handled?

For earlier points, appending commutes with deleting, and induction finishes Theorem 2.3

k points append append for j at most k − 1 induction hypothesis, then the recursion read backwards

For an earlier point, j at most k minus one, peel off the last step. Append the point y k plus x, then delete entry j.

Or delete first, then append. The last entry is still y k, so both routes give the same tuple.

So alpha j moves inside the recursion, onto nu k. Induction turns that into nu k minus one, and the recursion rebuilds nu k of f. Steps one and two cover the top two deletions at every level, and all of level one.

For j equal to k the routes differ, since deleting y k changes which entry is last. That is our reading of why that case is separate.

9 of 14 · Q: how does level lowering become invariance?

Averaging n consecutive sizes leaves an error of two over n, and a limit point is exactly invariant

Theorem 2.3these cancel push forward is weak-* continuous, the adjointof composition with alpha_j (our routine check)

Theorem two point three relates neighboring levels: a deletion sends nu i to nu i minus one. To get one invariant object, average n consecutive levels, all viewed as means on sets with at least k elements.

Apply alpha j with j at most k. Every box shifts one place to the left.

The middle boxes cancel. What is left is nu k minus nu k plus n, divided by n, with norm at most two over n.

Take an accumulation point, nu bar. A routine check, ours: push forward is weak star continuous, as the adjoint of composition with alpha j. So nu bar is exactly invariant under the first k deletions.

10 of 14 · Q: how do we get back to honest distributions?

Goldstine: finitely supported probabilities are weak star dense in the means

weak-* closed convex hullof the point massesGoldstine, in the form usedfinitely supported probabilities areweak-* dense in the means (p.4, p.6) suppose a mean m is outside C (Hahn-Banach) positivity contradiction: C is every mean

Nu bar is still a mean. Goldstine's theorem: finitely supported probabilities are weak star dense in the means. The paper cites it. This Hahn Banach proof is ours.

Suppose a mean m lies outside the closed convex hull of point masses. Separating functionals are evaluations at a bounded f, so some f gives m of f above the supremum of f.

Positivity forbids that. The supremum of f, minus f, is nonnegative, so m of f is at most that supremum.

Hence a net of finitely supported mu q converges weak star to nu bar. The defects, alpha i mu q minus mu q, lie in little l one and go to zero weakly.

11 of 14 · Q: how does weak convergence become a total variation bound?

Mazur's trick: convex combinations turn weak convergence to zero into small norm

norm < εschematic the k defects of mu_q, as one vector a net tending to 0 weakly; the norms need not tend to 0Mazur's trick (Hahn-Banach)a convex set has the same weak closure and norm closure:a norm-closed convex set is an intersection of closedhalf-spaces, and half-spaces are weakly closed one vector in the product space: all k conditions at once a convex combination of finitely supported laws is one: Theorem A

Stack the k defects of mu q into one vector in k copies of little l one. These vectors go to zero weakly. Their norms need not shrink.

Mah zoor's trick: a convex set has the same weak and norm closure. By Hahn Banach, a norm closed convex set is an intersection of half spaces, which are weakly closed.

Defects of convex combinations form a convex set with zero in its weak closure. So some combination, mu tilde, has all k defects below epsilon in norm. The paper cites Day. The details are ours.

Mu tilde is finitely supported, and total variation is half the l one distance. That is Theorem A.

12 of 14 · Q: why can an honest step law never work?

With an honest step law the second point sits below the median of the first with probability at most one quarter

law of the first point: geometric steps, p = 0.2 (our example)123456789101112 first two steps, independent 12345678 what the detour through means costsno constructionno ratechoice, at least 4 times (our count)the map from nu to nu_k is not weak-* continuous (Remark 2.4), soapproximating nu by honest laws does not approximate nu_k

Now the promised lower bound. Let M be the first place where the cumulative step law passes one half. The first point is at most M with probability above one half.

Pull that event back through alpha one: the second point is at most M. Then the first step and the second step are each at most M minus one.

Those events are independent, each with probability at most one half. So the pulled back event has probability at most one quarter, and the law moved by more than that.

Means escape this at a price: no construction, no rate, and by our count at least four uses of choice.

13 of 14 · Q: is there an explicit candidate?

Appendix A conjectures a power tower model, where scale separation stands in for idempotence

Appendix A, the conjectural explicit model (p.20) constants chosen backwards 0 densities, schematic values r_1 = 40, r_2 = 1.5; our computationmarginals: close (p.21)pairs, triples: 'easy to show', no proof writtengeneral k: open

Appendix A's model: independent uniforms pass through a double exponential with constants r i, and stack into a power tower. Nu k is the law of the first k towers, rounded down.

The constants are chosen backwards, each much larger than the exponential of the next.

By our computation, the double logarithm of the second tower is r one x one plus the exponential of r two x two: uniform on a huge range, shifted by a relatively tiny amount. Also ours: in raw size the later gap is the larger, the reverse of the mean walk.

The paper calls marginals close and pairs and triples easy, without written proof. The general case is open.

14 of 14 · Q: what did the proof read find, and where next?

The survey found a misprint and one under-argued claim, and the next stop is page six with a pencil

findings of the survey's proof read; the paper does not list themp.20: a plus sign where the tower needs a productprinted needed the conclusion survives (our check)p.19 to 20: 'the same proof implies'claim: independent steps with different laws also fail.The proof of A.1 uses only the first deletion. Our example: smaller itemsk = 2 check: asserted on p.3, never written. Index slips onp.17 and p.18 (Section 6, outside this lesson).read next1 · page 6, top half, with a pencilrederive the merge identity and apply(2.i) to g. About 15 minutes.2 · page 19, Proposition A.1the median argument: what no honestwalk can do. About 10 minutes.3 · pages 20 to 21, the towercompute the double logarithm of thesecond and third towers.

These findings are the survey's. On page twenty, the display for z two has a plus sign where the tower needs a product. The conclusion survives.

After Proposition A one, the paper says the same proof covers independent steps with different laws. That proof uses only the first deletion. In our example, a uniform first step then unit steps, only the second deletion exposes the failure.

The check for k equal to two is asserted and never written. Two index slips sit in section six.

To go deeper, rederive the top half of page six with a pencil. Then read Proposition A one, and then the tower model.

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